Lucasian Microfoundations as a Form of Structural Realism
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14394/filnau.2021.0003Słowa kluczowe:
Robert E. Lucas, business cycle theory, microfoundations, entity realism, structural realism, semirealismAbstrakt
This paper is an attempt to understand Robert E. Lucas’s microfounded models of the 1960-70s as results of a structuralist project. It is argued that the way Lucas derived macroeconomic outcomes from the decisions of market agents is in line with the basic tenet of the semirealist version of structural realism, where structures are conceived as relations emerging between properties of relata under specific conditions. Accordingly, after an overview of semirealism, it is emphasized that in his microfoundations project Lucas formulated the basic decision problem so that large-scale fluctuations could plausibly be traced back to agents’ properties. The transition from Lucas and Rapping’s model of the labor market to Lucas’s monetary island model is described as placing the same decision makers in a setting the specifics of which are in consonance with the assumed actions and interactions of market participants.
Bibliografia
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Chakravartty A. (2004), “Structuralism as a Form of Scientific Realism,” International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 18(2-3), 151-171. https://doi.org/10.1080/0269859042000296503
Chakravartty A. (2007), A Metaphysics for Scientific Realism: Knowing the Unobservable, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511487354
Chakravartty A. (2012), “Ontological Priority: The Conceptual Basis of Non-eliminative, Ontic Structural Realism” [in:] Structural Realism: Structure, Object, and Causality, E. M. Landry, D. P. Rickles (eds.), New York: Springer, 187-206. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2579-9_10
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Hardt Ł. (2018), “Economic Models and Ceteris Normalibus Laws,” Economic Studies 2018(1-2), 41-70.
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Epstein B. (2014), “Why Macroeconomics Does Not Supervene on Microeconomics,” Journal of Economic Methodology 21(1), 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350178X.2014.886467
Esfeld M. (2009), “The Modal Nature of Structures in Ontic Structural Realism,” International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 23(2), 179-194. https://doi.org/10.1080/02698590903006917
Esfeld M. (2013), “Ontic Structural Realism and the Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics,” European Journal for Philosophy of Science 3(1), 19-32. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-012-0054-x
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French S., Ladyman J. (2011), “In Defence of Ontic Structural Realism” [in:] Scientific Structuralism, A. Bokulich, P. Bokulich (eds.), New York: Springer, 25-42. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-9597-8_2
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Galbács P. (2020), The Friedman-Lucas Transition in Macroeconomics: A Structuralist Approach, Cambridge, MA: Elsevier Science. https://doi.org/10.1016/C2018-0-00273-X
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Hacking I. (1982), “Experimentation and Scientific Realism,” Philosophical Topics 13(1), 71-87. https://doi.org/10.5840/philtopics19821314
Hardin C. L., Rosenberg A. (1982), “In Defense of Convergent Realism,” Philosophy of Science 49(4), 604-615. https://doi.org/10.1086/289080
Hardt Ł. (2018), “Economic Models and Ceteris Normalibus Laws,” Economic Studies 2018(1-2), 41-70.
Hoover K. D. (2001), “Is Macroeconomics for Real?” [in:] The Economic World View: Studies in the Ontology of Economics, U. Mäki (ed.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 225-245. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511752049.013
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Kincaid H. (2008), “Structural Realism and the Social Sciences,” Philosophy of Science 75(5), 720-731. https://doi.org/10.1086/594517
Kirman A. P. (1992), “Whom or What Does the Representative Individual Represent?,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 6(2), 117-136. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.6.2.117
Ladyman J. (1998), “What is Structural Realism?,” Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 29(3), 409-424. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0039-3681(98)80129-5
Lucas R. E. (1964), Substitution between Labor and Capital in U.S. Manufacturing, 1929-1958. Unpublished Ph.D. Dissertation, Chicago: The University of Chicago.
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Lucas R. E. (1967b), “Adjustment Costs and the Theory of Supply,” Journal of Political Economy 75(4), 321-334. https://doi.org/10.1086/259289
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Lucas R. E. (1973/1976), “Econometric Policy Evaluation: A Critique,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 1976(1), 19-46. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-2231(76)80003-6
Lucas R. E. (1977), “Understanding Business Cycles,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 1977(5), 7-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2231(77)90002-1
Lucas R. E. (1980), “Methods and Problems in Business Cycle Theory,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 12(4), 696-715. https://doi.org/10.2307/1992030
Lucas R. E. (1981), Studies in Business-Cycle Theory, Oxford: Basil Blackwell.
Lucas R. E. (1986), “Adaptive Behavior and Economic Theory,” Journal of Business 59(4), S401-S426. https://doi.org/10.1086/296377
Lucas R. E. (1994), “Review of Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz’s ‘A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960’,” Journal of Monetary Economics 34(1), 5-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(94)90055-8
Lucas R. E. (2004), “My Keynesian Education,” History of Political Economy 36(5), 12-24. https://doi.org/10.1215/00182702-36-Suppl_1-12
Lucas R. E. (1960-2004 and undated), Unpublished papers. Archival material stored at the David M. Rubenstein Library, Duke University.
Lucas R. E., Rapping L. A. (1969a), “Price Expectations and the Phillips Curve,” The American Economic Review 59(3), 342-350.
Lucas R. E., Rapping L. A. (1969b), “Real Wages, Employment, and Inflation,” Journal of Political Economy 77(5), 721-754. https://doi.org/10.1086/259559
Lucas R. E., Rapping L. A. (1972), “Unemployment in the Great Depression: Is There a Full Explanation?,” Journal of Political Economy 80(1), 186-191. https://doi.org/10.1086/259872
Lucas R. E., Sargent T. J. (1979), “After Keynesian Macroeconomics,” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 3(2), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.21034/qr.321
Mäki U. (1992), “On the Method of Isolation in Economics” [in:] Intelligibility and Science, C. Dilworth (ed.), Amsterdam: Rodopi, 317-351.
Manicas P. T. (2006), A Realist Philosophy of Social Science: Explanation and Understanding, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511607035
Mantel R. R. (1973), “On the Characterization of Aggregate Excess Demand,” Journal of Economic Theory 7(3), 348-353. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(74)90100-8
Morganti M. (2004), “On the Preferability of Epistemic Structural Realism,” Synthese 142(1), 81-107. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:SYNT.0000047712.39407.c3
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2021-10-31
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Galbács, P. (2021). Lucasian Microfoundations as a Form of Structural Realism. Filozofia Nauki, 29(3), 9–35. https://doi.org/10.14394/filnau.2021.0003
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Filozofia Nauki | ISSN 1230-6894 | e-ISSN 2657-5868